TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,192,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,325,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,192,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 884 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over35c91,676$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,676.3814248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over33c63,360$20,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,450.947346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Under64c47,123$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under61c45,000$27,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,449.8617949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c40,804$26,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,387.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c39,929$14,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,086.511,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under63c35,610$22,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,434.4117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under65c28,147$18,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,295.6374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under60c27,724$16,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,724.0851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under63c26,950$17,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,008.824431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under63c20,428$12,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,860.7826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over42c19,356$8,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,301.877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over39c18,338$7,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,186.486953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over36c17,638$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,267.331,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over38c16,756$6,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,451.22,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under61c16,393$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Under61c15,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over37c14,838$5,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,307.6334964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked Over39c12,821$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,820.511747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over39c12,526$4,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,641.1310840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over39c12,500$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,624.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over40c12,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over40c11,361$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,816.628162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c11,183$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,190.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3e…ff11backed Under0c10,030$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over40c10,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under62c8,065$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over40c7,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under62c7,500$4,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6359846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over39c7,000$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.681,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under62c6,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.9831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over38c5,993$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.027034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under66c5,907$3,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,890.6444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over38c5,500$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.9648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over43c5,440$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.0937242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over38c5,336$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over39c5,165$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.4910949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under60c5,000$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0059266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x13b8…d1afbacked Under60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9912655.6%70 W · 56 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Over37c4,993$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.94472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under67c4,923$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.0338734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over28c4,875$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.6134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under67c4,776$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c4,460$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.121,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over41c4,444$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.9632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under63c4,350$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.8925942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under77c4,237$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.1912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over34c4,136$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.0419329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over38c4,059$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.5870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9914445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.9910441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under61c3,890$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.082236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over23c3,789$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.173735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over39c3,732$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.891,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under61c3,708$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over38c3,600$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.8847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over38c3,516$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.9644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over38c3,514$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.7864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Under61c3,280$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.776434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under62c3,199$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.444740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over38c3,137$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c3,063$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.7119946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under3c2,917$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over38c2,612$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.368723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under66c2,578$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.055466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under61c2,523$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.771,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.8431232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under58c2,500$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46015149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Over39c2,354$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.857753.2%41 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under3c2,300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7713813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under9c2,250$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under9c2,250$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.55726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Under62c2,222$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.6417636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under62c2,222$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.66043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c2,210$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…e8a8backed Under60c2,143$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.035950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Over40c2,139$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.159947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under58c2,082$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.5630626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under61c2,033$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2407163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over37c2,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.031833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Under62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2408942.7%38 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28022639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Under60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2208355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7026…eda7backed Under67c1,900$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2657844.9%35 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over30c1,883$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.661,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over39c1,795$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.877943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over43c1,681$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.342,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over37c1,678$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.061,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under60c1,670$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00225537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.