TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$676,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,889 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under33c120,000$39,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,599.922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over66c50,863$33,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,205.051,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c31,824$14,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,320.1142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over67c30,548$20,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,080.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00017550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under28c14,641$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.864431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c13,627$8,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,794.672,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over60c12,965$7,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,186.1274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Over71c12,642$8,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.2714546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c12,243$7,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,985.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Over45c12,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9913639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Under31c11,357$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520.6242710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c10,209$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over68c9,377$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.3751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed Over67c9,104$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.481861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under35c8,373$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.242,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under32c7,852$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.5670244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Under39c7,000$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7253043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over67c5,970$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.158672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over68c5,600$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under23c5,550$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.4126534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over77c4,695$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.8935244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c4,636$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.8422451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,200$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under32c4,017$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.472,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under22c3,983$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.6227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under28c3,589$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under4c3,437$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2930642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5e…0d8fbacked Over48c3,407$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.793718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c3,280$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.532,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aaf…b21abacked Over50c2,923$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.413426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under3c2,872$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under36c2,814$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.7413837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under3c2,659$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1119218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under33c2,652$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.161,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under18c2,636$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47044130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c2,617$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over61c2,587$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.031,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under1c2,432$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under10c2,250$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under44c2,087$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.234233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Over68c1,906$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.814472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over68c1,843$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.7777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7110261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over70c1,707$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under9c1,616$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9124533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under46c1,550$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.523440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under36c1,520$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.0830626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1517453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over57c1,492$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.761,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over58c1,450$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60920234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ca…1cefbacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.286155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Under34c1,421$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.272737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under12c1,410$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2718929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over67c1,399$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.758047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over71c1,394$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1513943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over67c1,377$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.271,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over67c1,333$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.522,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under55c1,216$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.0327845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over53c1,202$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3847338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…03adbacked Under9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081533.3%5 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+583.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over67c1,189$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.211,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over73c1,177$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c1,166$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.682,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over78c1,110$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.287342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over70c1,071$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.3138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed Over59c1,056$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.53268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over76c1,043$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under12c1,033$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over55c1,032$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5322441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Over52c1,027$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9219020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33015147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over62c990.66$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.872,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.549845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x022c…bf19backed Under33c953$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c916.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over67c910.82$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.641,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under14c909.2$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under13c898.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over67c896.26$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.291,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over73c874.08$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8265036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe971…a946backed Under33c839.18$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32011247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under11c786.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.527047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under32c780$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.424136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under45c777$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6516641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over79c763.22$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over72c753.75$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9663544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under7c736.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2221722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…f64fbacked Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2918452.2%96 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under33c732.91$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8613736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.