TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,799 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under72c671.69$483 inWon+$188.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c612.74$172 inLost-$171.572,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over28c500$140 inLost-$14095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under73c407.93$298 inWon+$110.2237754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over27c394.75$107 inLost-$106.5845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c369.79$59 inLost-$59.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under73c340.95$250 inWon+$90.957471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over28c300$84 inLost-$8454917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c273.02$195 inWon+$77.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under72c214.87$154 inWon+$60.813,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under72c144.45$104 inWon+$40.932855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over29c141.67$41 inLost-$40.853,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under70c116.98$82 inWon+$35.092,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over29c64.29$18 inLost-$18.333,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under72c46.08$33 inWon+$12.91,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under71c33.76$24 inWon+$9.6266056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under71c27.94$20 inWon+$8.116052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under72c23.5$17 inWon+$6.581,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under72c21.24$15 inWon+$5.9523866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Under71c16.59$12 inWon+$4.8127663%174 W · 102 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.