TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05f1…1744

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST3946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wizards vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Knicks vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48.36
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+392.1%+$56.64
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+171.6%+$34.32
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.1%+$19.9
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.2%+$8.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Preston North End FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+52.7%+$21.07
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+147.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+525%+$105
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.7%+$6.69
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$38
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,082.9%+$270.71
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$56.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+53.3%+$15.99
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$22.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+566.7%+$93.49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+60.4%+$12.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick65cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+116.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Northwestern: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.