Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfadf2e3da0fec344b8a846a91595c51185fdcf77f1eedcb7c807a0ba8fd086f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,588 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 63c | 19,067$11,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,962.53 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 11,584$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,003.91 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 10,546$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558.13 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.95 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 38c | 8,270$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.6 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…33ddbacked Yes | 63c | 7,899$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 4,970$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.22 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…ec99backed Yes | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 38c | 4,328$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.21 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 62c | 4,050$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.8 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 63c | 3,681$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.07 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 3,372$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.96 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed Yes | 63c | 3,047$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.05 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked No | 31c | 2,822$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 38c | 2,779$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.86 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,743$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…cf6bbacked No | 38c | 2,712$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 65c | 2,215$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed No | 63c | 2,058$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.34 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,840$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,831$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.02 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 71c | 1,822$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…429cbacked No | 38c | 1,789$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 39c | 1,750$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 30c | 1,747$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.22 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 63c | 1,729$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 61c | 1,637$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.59 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,466$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 69c | 1,462$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.84 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 62c | 1,359$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 38c | 1,277$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.8 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…3620backed No | 30c | 1,020$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 37c | 988.84$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.97 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Yes | 61c | 983.55$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 949.8$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.21 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 73c | 940$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 58c | 929.47$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…cdebbacked Yes | 60c | 905.74$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed No | 38c | 860.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 61c | 819.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 819.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.38 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 38c | 815.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 61c | 814.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 56c | 811.3$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…06c8backed Yes | 71c | 798.17$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 63c | 794.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 36c | 722.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 35c | 716.31$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.64 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 29c | 686.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Yes | 62c | 685.55$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 683.78$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 38c | 676.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.43 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Yes | 61c | 651.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 39c | 619.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.14 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked No | 39c | 615.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.14 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 68c | 591.35$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 63c | 587.05$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Yes | 78c | 583.4$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 63c | 573.49$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 71c | 556.98$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.46 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 40c | 527.11$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.69 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 63c | 525$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 34c | 497.5$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.35 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 61c | 488.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed No | 39c | 478.73$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed No | 42c | 477.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 33c | 449.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.49 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…3a32backed Yes | 62c | 449.31$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 6c | 422.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f4…d352backed Yes | 42c | 422.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 72c | 413.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…38b2backed Yes | 63c | 398.41$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6c…91babacked No | 25c | 394.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +299.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes | 72c | 371.79$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 74c | 363.79$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…e87fbacked Yes | 55c | 329.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 62c | 322.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 78c | 320.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 32c | 317$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 315.45$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 39c | 312.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.27 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 58c | 304.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.