Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8acf968cf7c7e82544f16c927013bee915aead562ac9fbf2e77c8b1ed21cbe81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,384 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Over | 58c | 296,164$171,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,388.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 42c | 121,540$51,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,046.58 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 42c | 92,899$38,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,888.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 42c | 59,622$25,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,041.23 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 42c | 19,047$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.92 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 18,937$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.07 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Over | 58c | 17,242$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.64 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Under | 42c | 12,839$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Over | 58c | 12,805$7,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 58c | 10,417$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.41 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Over | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 8,121$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.35 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 7,900$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 57c | 5,537$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.08 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Over | 60c | 5,152$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.07 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 5,119$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.4 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 5,109$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.55 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Under | 43c | 4,442$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 43c | 4,200$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.91 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed Over | 58c | 4,117$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 51c | 4,012$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.13 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.9 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Over | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 50c | 3,304$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 3,125$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Under | 3c | 3,125$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.31 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 2,884$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.74 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 43c | 2,665$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.43 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 43c | 1,847$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,833$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.25 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Over | 58c | 1,822$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 58c | 1,802$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 58c | 1,767$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.34 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Under | 43c | 1,693$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Over | 58c | 1,693$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 42c | 1,514$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Under | 43c | 1,497$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 42c | 1,280$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.87 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.12 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +7.7wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.09 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 42c | 951.95$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.59 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 745.76$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 58c | 638.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 546.7$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 54c | 535.26$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 518.64$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.35 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 42c | 515.84$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Under | 42c | 474.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…23c7backed Over | 65c | 471.71$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Under | 43c | 465.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Over | 60c | 454.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 58c | 440.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 431.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 56c | 403.57$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 43c | 392.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 58c | 384.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 59c | 378$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 58c | 375.77$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 52c | 355.57$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Over | 58c | 352.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 58c | 344.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 42c | 339.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.31 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…06f0backed Over | 58c | 327.82$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 58c | 316.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Over | 59c | 297.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over | 54c | 289.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 285.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Over | 58c | 285.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 7c | 281.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 281.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Over | 58c | 270.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 258.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 59c | 254.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.