Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774d0694ac83ebf90b6ac4aaf0b3b883818810f3026a17361c36099d9e8cc964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,189 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 62,654$49,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,529.28 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 19c | 49,860$9,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,473.46 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 28c | 8,434$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 19c | 5,053$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 20c | 3,860$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.76 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 64c | 2,823$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Under | 51c | 2,514$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,228$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.26 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 80c | 2,162$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 24c | 1,954$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.93 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 79c | 1,825$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.32 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 80c | 1,336$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.61 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 21c | 1,249$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.32 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…1c79backed Under | 67c | 1,016$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 46c | 1,004$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 19c | 999.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…c6debacked Over | 20c | 975.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Over | 54c | 949.94$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…da5abacked Over | 21c | 948.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 20c | 940$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Over | 56c | 891.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 848.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 43c | 825.38$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.92 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Under | 80c | 724.36$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Under | 46c | 724$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 47c | 717.02$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 56c | 716$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…a09bbacked Under | 47c | 682.94$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 653.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Under | 73c | 649.97$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…cdebbacked Over | 52c | 599.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 48c | 596.42$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.42 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Under | 57c | 526.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 53c | 516.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…28f0backed Under | 80c | 501.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 45c | 481.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 39c | 468.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 20c | 463.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 370.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 20c | 369.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 415 | 51.1%212 W · 203 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 295 | 40.3%119 W · 176 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 319.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Under | 80c | 315$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 296.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a2…8c84backed Over | 38c | 289.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…b5ebbacked Over | 56c | 263.71$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 19c | 259.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 256.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 77c | 252.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 56c | 242.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.88 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 20c | 224.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 20c | 215.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 214.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…e85fbacked Over | 19c | 211.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 40c | 206.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Over | 56c | 204.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 53c | 198.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 72c | 193$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Under | 48c | 190.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…258ebacked Under | 58c | 189.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 36c | 189.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 57c | 174.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 19c | 173.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 56c | 172.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 43c | 172.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…8cacbacked Over | 44c | 170.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 19c | 169.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Over | 20c | 166.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 45c | 158.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 79c | 155.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 9c | 150.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…bdedbacked Over | 20c | 143.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…0247backed Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 75c | 140.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 30c | 122.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…efb6backed Over | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…0c0ebacked Over | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 56c | 112$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.