Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafefb6b740ef26a0a73e40bfe5a1522346dc15810b10d61cce480d1e8cf85655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madrid CFof Manchester City FC, Real Madrid CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,798 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 11,286$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.14 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 10,319$7,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.12 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 10,146$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.48 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Manchester City FC | 24c | 10,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 3,921$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.44 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 3,712$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.15 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 3,352$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.88 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Real Madrid CF | 77c | 3,264$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.32 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 1,609$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.58 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…f23abacked Manchester City FC | 4c | 1,407$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Manchester City FC | 14c | 1,400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…4798backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 1,147$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…f7eabacked Manchester City FC | 1c | 1,089$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Manchester City FC | 24c | 1,060$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.54 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Manchester City FC | 13c | 1,060$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +11.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 919.36$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 774.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 735.68$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 639.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Manchester City FC | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Manchester City FC | 24c | 599.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Manchester City FC | 25c | 589.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 588.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Manchester City FC | 16c | 576.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 554.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 524.8$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Manchester City FC | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 499.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 450.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 399.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 377.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Real Madrid CF | 78c | 337.6$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 333.39$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 332$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…c414backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 304.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 269.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 267.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 265.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 208.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 200.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Manchester City FC | 25c | 199.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…a266backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 193.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 193$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 186.07$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Real Madrid CF | 77c | 175.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…b6b0backed Manchester City FC | 29c | 173.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 172.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Real Madrid CF | 74c | 169.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Manchester City FC | 24c | 164.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 154.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 153.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Real Madrid CF | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 136$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 134.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 133.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…e290backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 133.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Real Madrid CF | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Real Madrid CF | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked Real Madrid CF | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 122.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…31f9backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3530…72dabacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 113.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 109.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 100.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Manchester City FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Manchester City FC | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Manchester City FC | 26c | 98.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 94.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d1a5backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 94.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Manchester City FC | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 89.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…7b24backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 85.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Real Madrid CF | 73c | 83.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Manchester City FC | 25c | 80.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Manchester City FC | 23c | 80.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…764dbacked Manchester City FC | 24c | 77.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 72.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Real Madrid CF | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Real Madrid CF | 76c | 67.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manchester City FC | 24c | 66.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…4d21backed Manchester City FC | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ac24backed Manchester City FC | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Manchester City FC | 25c | 57.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.