Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b864e4a1b17fed8ac9968a4dce10c33cd888cddcd0b28dc7e8040100396fa44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,443 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Over | 37c | 173,018$64,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,323 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Under | 66c | 150,401$98,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,640.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 63c | 44,640$27,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,694.58 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 34c | 35,367$12,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,024.81 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 27,811$16,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,179.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Under | 62c | 27,705$17,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,527.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 35c | 19,048$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.71 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 64c | 14,000$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 36c | 12,025$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 64c | 9,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 63c | 7,016$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.76 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 33c | 6,076$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 68c | 4,888$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.84 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.98 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 36c | 3,800$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 33c | 3,259$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 62c | 3,150$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.18 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 64c | 2,917$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.12 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 64c | 2,880$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.14 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Over | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 2,836$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.24 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 38c | 2,664$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 38c | 2,506$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 4c | 2,196$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 7c | 2,016$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.89 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Under | 70c | 1,929$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 77c | 1,881$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.85 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 38c | 1,726$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.82 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 65c | 1,549$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.87 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 1,484$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.35 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 45c | 1,441$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 58c | 1,400$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed Over | 36c | 1,382$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 49c | 1,370$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.11 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,351$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.94 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 36c | 1,310$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.62 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 79c | 1,262$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…ef2bbacked Under | 71c | 1,176$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 37c | 1,150$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.14 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 48c | 1,115$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 43c | 1,098$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 42c | 1,097$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.56 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Under | 64c | 1,061$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 62c | 1,048$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.38 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 36c | 1,000$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.26 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 64c | 974.51$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.66 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Over | 27c | 916.81$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 62c | 847$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 37c | 818.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…cdebbacked Over | 52c | 720.14$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 7c | 703.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 64c | 648$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 57c | 615.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 35c | 599.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 36c | 569$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 66c | 560.61$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.61 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 36c | 556.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 35c | 531.18$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 36c | 520$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 36c | 491.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 53c | 489.49$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 42c | 476.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…e16abacked Over | 75c | 452.18$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 36c | 416.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 36c | 410.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 63c | 405$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Under | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 35c | 391$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…09d0backed Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 342.67$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 62c | 334.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 75c | 322.79$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 319.64$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.