TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee2a…729b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10426%27 W · 77 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$43.75
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+423%+$85.98
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$32.61
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112%+$13.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+453.3%+$104.14
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5135.3%18 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+281.3%+$74.24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$10.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+721.1%+$193.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$40.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+368.8%+$41.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+243%+$32.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$13.42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$9.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$36.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.34
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3810.5%4 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.32
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.29
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+259.6%+$389.38
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.22
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
US forces enter Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.77
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+451.5%+$586.99
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$118.55
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed RC Strasbourg Alsace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$38.78
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60.1
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$37.27
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+110.5%+$22.11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.