Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63acdeba821b60c845edd98a6c87dd2b65d8443946234ba318dc7bf9330d31be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 15,319$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 20c | 4,695$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.05 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…31c3backed Yes | 13c | 4,619$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 4,389$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.35 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,050$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 8c | 2,488$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 2,203$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…e3fdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…2717backed Yes | 10c | 1,437$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,334$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 1,249$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 15c | 1,220$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 80c | 1,179$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.86 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Yes | 4c | 1,117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,021$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 14c | 900$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 2c | 533.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 8c | 403$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 16c | 392.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 8c | 384.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 375.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 8c | 349.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 13c | 347$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…9335backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 6c | 333.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 12c | 281.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 268.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 13c | 255.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 255$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…9310backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Yes | 15c | 226.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 15c | 226.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 8c | 186.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 153.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 149.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…3d13backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…cdcdbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 79.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Yes | 19c | 77.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 16c | 73.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 14c | 73.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 71.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ca…0f26backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e682backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.