Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd549a476c326ff1f68c46e6d9d4dda58a85b7256ae6dfd9f87050a9ef45ee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 78c | 10,253$8,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.17 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 9,704$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.91 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 6,214$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 5,217$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.14 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 22c | 4,444$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,341$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.61 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 22c | 1,218$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 25c | 895.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 25c | 880$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 624.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb324…6f82backed Yes | 16c | 400.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 22c | 319.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 78c | 306.82$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 79c | 227.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 22c | 208.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 136.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 26c | 120.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee2…e71dbacked No | 78c | 119.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 22c | 115.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 104.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 102.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe07…e280backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 74c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 78c | 78.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 23c | 55.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…1329backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 22c | 47.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 23c | 43.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 39.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 30.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.