TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$449,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed No36c50,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.935635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No38c46,451$17,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,581.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes64c42,827$27,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,417.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c37,070$23,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,113.6614740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes63c23,400$14,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,658955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes63c22,547$14,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,442.8443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No37c21,826$8,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,075.455259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No37c19,292$7,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,212.985947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5501353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No36c14,989$5,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,398.8538247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c14,039$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,009.241,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No37c10,008$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7424544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No38c9,411$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes58c8,558$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked No38c7,895$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No36c7,536$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes62c7,433$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.2833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No36c7,092$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5193250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c5,715$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.753,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No36c5,151$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.854420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes62c3,976$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.924955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c3,887$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.0191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes63c3,761$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.512951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No35c3,333$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.554551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes62c3,200$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2163046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Yes63c3,105$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.994037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.944639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c2,737$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.462,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No24c2,506$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.947237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No36c2,505$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.85536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No15c2,469$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.575538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No37c2,326$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes68c2,222$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.042867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes65c1,797$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9511242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No12c1,490$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes68c1,488$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No38c1,358$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.992347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No32c1,348$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed No39c1,283$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes64c1,210$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.868240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes63c1,193$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.413360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No33c1,175$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes62c1,123$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7413149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes64c1,122$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.110055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No24c1,119$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.642920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Yes67c1,078$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No34c1,008$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3707963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Yes70c880$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No33c843.47$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.392245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No15c773.05$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6417941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes64c769.45$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2771233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.235545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes68c734.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.11850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No36c711.4$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.12343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes68c700$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No37c685.15$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No34c649.98$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.492821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes58c646.26$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.43714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4e7…be52backed Yes63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes67c599.98$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes65c538.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4611449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes64c517.43$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.277067.1%47 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed No37c512$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes64c501.51$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.111843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No33c497.6$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74b7…fb52backed Yes64c488.76$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes66c457.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.433455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes64c450$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes63c440.91$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.961855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes64c421.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c32…e11dbacked Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6e…ba8dbacked No37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed No37c399.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.832222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes64c353.19$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.151752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c344.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes63c329.61$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.019054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes62c318.8$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.888355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes66c318.18$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.185154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4617447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.