TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a57…9ac1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT7834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Will Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will Stoke City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+341.6%+$51.24
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+248.9%+$37.34
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Exact Score: Newcastle United FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+387.6%+$135.65
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$92.14
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$40.56
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+337.7%+$50.65
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+632.5%+$167.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$40.56
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+102%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.4%+$4.75
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.