TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x980d…7763backed Yes18c21,638$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes21c4,712$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c1,614$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.291,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes22c1,155$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-60.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes10c1,150$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6815376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes20c1,038$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.827237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes22c1,005$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No78c953.25$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.713452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No78c769.23$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.235343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes27c727.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes22c641$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.022814.3%4 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No78c640.19$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c603.44$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7625157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes5c540.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.035538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes21c519.89$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.333234.4%11 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36eb…a9fabacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-64.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c450$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c395.17$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.143,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes20c381.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c380.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.48240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes22c345$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.23225%8 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No79c321.54$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5210055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked Yes22c320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes22c319.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.33135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9833…3f04backed Yes13c313$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-73.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x383c…d1b8backed Yes21c300$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No80c298$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.256219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes17c282.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.32,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c230$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4235158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+171.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No79c198.4$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.663839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes22c197.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.665337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes20c180$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes17c177.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes21c170.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.861040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…3b3cbacked No78c165$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes18c149.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…11ddbacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c127.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes17c126.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes17c116.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No73c116.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.482425%6 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No77c105.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7517249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes20c104.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9910537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2133349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c5…1329backed Yes26c99.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes12c98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.763050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…bb67backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes21c90.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29920.2%20 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes24c89.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.498733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x02f0…ab20backed Yes23c87.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c86.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9615949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes21c85.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c85.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1516013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes24c77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.562536%9 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb23e…362bbacked No76c76.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes21c74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156050%30 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c63.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1823461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No79c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.232185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…57c8backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+152%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No78c62.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.748847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…3adabacked Yes22c59.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes22c59.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb52e…4d08backed Yes22c57.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No78c57.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.486048.3%29 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No79c56.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No78c55.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.386950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No79c55.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca9…43dfbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes20c55.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f3…db3dbacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11875%6 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+141.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.