TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02f0…ab20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$63.86
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$18.76
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$17.16
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+95%+$28.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.9%+$27.88
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+62.2%+$12.45
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-58.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$11.29
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.58
Linea airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.35
Will michi be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Scroll airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Rider Broncsbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.95
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.4%+$13.28
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 5 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?backed Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.