Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd911bef8007afe36488a0ea84ed6fc408eacbb1ec369eb5e229e0f94ba38849b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 2,234$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 27c | 1,810$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.74 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 1,424$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.11 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 26c | 1,277$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 766.76$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.63 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 59c | 629.47$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 599.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 527$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…fd44backed Yes | 44c | 339$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 60c | 333.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 8c | 312$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 265.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 26c | 253.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 51c | 249.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 249.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 248.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 225.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 47c | 155.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 62c | 117.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…ab20backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…d776backed No | 47c | 106.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5728…b961backed Yes | 63c | 103.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 36c | 100.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 100.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 94.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 23c | 88.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +220.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Yes | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 35c | 81.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 25c | 80.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked No | 73c | 67.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed No | 69c | 65.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…17b9backed Yes | 60c | 59.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…2ffbbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 64c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…71c6backed Yes | 32c | 34.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…ccecbacked Yes | 59c | 32.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fb…abcdbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 48c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…47b0backed No | 70c | 22.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 73c | 18.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.