TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5728…b961

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-87.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.33
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$37.64
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$6.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58%+$46.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29%+$30.45
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$86.42
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$27.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$165.58
LoL: DOCISK vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked DOCISK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$18.68
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+45%+$11.25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.68
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$30.63
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.69
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Play-Inbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$16.84
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$17.58
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Cbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$16.38
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-62.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+137.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$19.72
Will CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$12.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.