Us Midterms · resolved market
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68b0a77955777a56aea54b2888d8e93e806e4ff51fec19800625cf46ce90e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 69c | 26,479$18,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,336.66 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 23c | 19,911$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.49 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 78c | 15,089$11,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.86 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 45c | 7,037$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.76 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 22c | 6,878$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.08 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 22c | 4,199$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.66 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 23c | 3,870$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.09 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 25c | 3,596$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 71c | 3,074$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.89 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,728$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.72 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,564$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.77 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 1,534$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,309$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes | 56c | 1,286$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,263$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 78c | 1,064$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 38c | 1,006$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 72c | 954.67$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 33c | 944.81$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 24c | 937.06$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 27c | 876$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 41c | 871$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 62c | 728$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 61c | 692.88$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed No | 38c | 612$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 58c | 611$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 38c | 607$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 77c | 600.37$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 592$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 25c | 568.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed No | 37c | 540$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 62c | 517$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed No | 42c | 487$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 18c | 478$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Yes | 59c | 456.66$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 20c | 442.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 36c | 425$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 64c | 425$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce14…e38fbacked No | 35c | 407.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 62c | 405$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 62c | 401$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 59c | 399$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 59c | 361$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 38c | 361$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 360.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 63c | 360.13$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 59c | 358$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 41c | 342$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 72c | 336.03$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 76c | 333.22$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked No | 37c | 324$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 38c | 318$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 38c | 312$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 62c | 312$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Yes | 63c | 312$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 21c | 306.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed Yes | 62c | 304$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…188fbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 25c | 291$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 74c | 289.54$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…daffbacked Yes | 73c | 274.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 62c | 273$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 272.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 41c | 265$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Yes | 59c | 265$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 63c | 259$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 62c | 254$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 29c | 251$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 58c | 246$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 42c | 246$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 41c | 244.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 26c | 238.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 41c | 234$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b3…77b6backed No | 29c | 224.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 13c | 222.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…fbd7backed Yes | 74c | 221.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 59c | 215$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 21c | 214$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 29c | 214$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 79c | 214$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 9c | 211.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 206.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 69c | 205.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 22c | 201.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 11c | 199.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 17c | 187.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 20c | 186.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 66c | 185.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 18c | 171.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 75c | 170.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 62c | 164$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…a7e7backed No | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 36c | 151$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 16c | 151$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?this page
- Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?No won
- Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.