TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f0d…1683

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$331.41
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.7
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$199.36
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$293.76
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.12
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$131.6
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.09
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$328.82
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.38
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.44
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.1
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$83.04
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$127.14
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.5
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$38.57
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$151.36
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$54.06
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.84
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+316.7%+$129.96
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.08
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.96
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$82.65
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.06
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$47.25
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$560.9
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$78.03
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$35.26
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$40.94
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$129.25
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$180.7
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,269.24
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$104.92
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$39.15
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$77.28
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$462.92
Will "The Grinch" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$96.96
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.2
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.68
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.4
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.42
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$193.14
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$337.81
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$130.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$262.55
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$127.16
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$33.6
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$330.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$258.39
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$192.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$93.39
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$112.2
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$80.04
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$445.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$169.12
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$277.2
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$161.48
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+291.2%+$875.37
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+354.5%+$382.98
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.16
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34%+$69.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$394.79
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$99.45
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.54
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.06
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$340.99
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$389.88
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+223.4%+$223.12
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$233.28
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$590.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.49
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.64
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.54
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.52
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.96
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$708.64
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.53
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$96.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+154.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.8%+$89.17
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.76
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$128.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+455.6%+$385.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+334.8%+$155.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$486.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$298.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.