NBA · resolved market
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4fbd67233d692362b844cd95101ba60661d308829e558d51a2067625e02581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,407 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.15 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 14c | 7,692$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.75 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528a…cea5backed Yes | 1c | 2,581$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…79f8backed Yes | 1c | 2,459$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…ef9abacked Yes | 1c | 2,376$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 10c | 2,092$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d1aebacked Yes | 1c | 1,969$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1077…3afcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,947$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…71a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,920$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…576ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,765$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…45dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,748$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…876fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,718$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…642cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,674$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…73f1backed Yes | 1c | 1,556$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…b112backed Yes | 1c | 1,461$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…b82ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,454$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…5e07backed Yes | 1c | 1,432$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,158$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,072$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 73c | 1,033$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 25c | 1,023$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…c84abacked Yes | 23c | 975$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 75c | 963$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.75 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 22c | 953$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 23c | 902$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked Yes | 25c | 895$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 75c | 872$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 75c | 847$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 842.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 75c | 841$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 25c | 829$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 71c | 826$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 75c | 770$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 29c | 754$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed No | 75c | 751$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked No | 71c | 744$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed No | 75c | 743$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 738.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed No | 75c | 723$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 25c | 708$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 25c | 698$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked No | 75c | 678$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 77c | 666$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed Yes | 25c | 645$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 25c | 622$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 25c | 605$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 25c | 604$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked No | 75c | 603$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed No | 76c | 597$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 25c | 565$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 29c | 553$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 25c | 553$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed No | 75c | 553$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 75c | 540$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 25c | 538$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked No | 76c | 533$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 30c | 530$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 25c | 529$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 25c | 516$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 22c | 515$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 4c | 510$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 25c | 508$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 23c | 507$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 29c | 497$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 78c | 488$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 76c | 482$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 78c | 476$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 75c | 464$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked Yes | 25c | 453$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed Yes | 25c | 422$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 75c | 422$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 420$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 75c | 413$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 75c | 403$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed Yes | 25c | 398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 24c | 392$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 391$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 25c | 381$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed No | 75c | 373$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 372.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed No | 75c | 372$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 25c | 370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked No | 75c | 370$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed No | 75c | 364$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 25c | 362$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 75c | 359$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 25c | 359$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 76c | 343$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 76c | 341$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 24c | 341$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked No | 75c | 336$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 75c | 334$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 5c | 328$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 25c | 328$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 75c | 316$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 30c | 312$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 25c | 306$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?this page
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.