TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Yes52c9,500$4,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.421,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No47c5,626$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.2322140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ed…5828backed No49c3,808$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes49c3,798$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.922041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9192…383ebacked Yes51c3,796$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0575…01f9backed No49c3,020$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb60d…331bbacked Yes51c2,993$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15fa…1155backed No49c2,434$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x924f…fdbbbacked Yes51c2,425$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa54…a4dfbacked No49c2,157$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes67c2,153$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.441,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b5…cb8bbacked Yes51c2,135$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes77c2,075$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.8715547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcabd…3764backed No15c1,904$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked No21c1,775$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.752445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked Yes64c1,496$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.52245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed No52c1,458$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.422944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed No29c1,451$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.72025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed No15c1,414$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No51c1,401$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.373737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e72…7de5backed No19c1,289$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.77837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed No27c1,270$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.713243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked No48c1,239$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.882347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa488…f562backed No16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No47c1,166$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.392020%4 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x290d…9e42backed Yes52c1,145$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed No15c1,116$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Yes62c1,107$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.872744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes69c1,103$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.662544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No48c1,098$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.041838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes51c1,069$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.811833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed Yes51c1,063$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.872556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked No21c1,047$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.871540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed No47c1,038$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.162040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes65c1,016$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.63339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28040133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…b093backed Yes51c989.21$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No45c966$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.562941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes51c933$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.172339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes55c926$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.062556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…8abbbacked No49c919.44$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed Yes76c916$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.512356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes80c916$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.952744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed No44c901$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.441450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes47c897$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.411952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked No21c850$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.51752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…35bebacked No15c850$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No21c812$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.522445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed No51c808$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.562161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed No44c804$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.761526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes70c802$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.431861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes56c796$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.242850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked No49c784$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.162548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…b18ebacked No15c784$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+55.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes59c780$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.474334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked Yes67c762$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ec…4477backed No46c757$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.182737%10 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed No15c743$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.451540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked No45c731$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.042733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…9ae0backed No15c730$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed No3c725$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362540%10 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No17c716$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.441741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b5…4ca3backed No20c714$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes79c713.27$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.792060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed No21c710$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.12245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab07…7763backed No54c706$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-53.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes76c703.93$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5911723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes52c703$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.442646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes56c702$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.881770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes56c697$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.23043.3%13 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes79c696$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.162142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes56c695$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes75c694$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed Yes63c675$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.252347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes67c663$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.092548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d2…6698backed Yes80c641$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No20c640$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33e2…e1babacked Yes46c635$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53d…8ab8backed No37c623$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.111735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9774…6d3cbacked No15c618$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.71435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed No19c606$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.141533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked No49c603$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.471926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaae6…3d05backed Yes52c595$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes52c594$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed No52c589$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.282441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed No15c582$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.31540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f66…ad61backed No53c581$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf53c…00acbacked No21c576$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes53c572$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.211643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes62c571$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.22548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f2…6a72backed Yes51c569$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed Yes79c560$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed Yes56c558$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.522657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed No49c557$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.932846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes48c549$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.481471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No15c549$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.35650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed No20c549$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.672828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes79c540$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.42552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed Yes78c537$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.492060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.