NBA · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3915e973e50831f5a29bc3713459f20895be5dfb1dc133fa783da8af4b0257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,563 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2501…c859backed Yes | 1c | 4,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dd…f544backed Yes | 1c | 4,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 2c | 4,543$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 4c | 3,644$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,878$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…debabacked Yes | 1c | 1,222$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 727.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 2c | 666.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 4c | 537.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 335.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 40c | 225.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Yes | 6c | 213.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 28c | 209.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 104$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…d5eabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 19c | 76.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 21c | 63.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…b6aabacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?this page
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.