NBA · resolved market
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2f1d7b05bdc074c2cdba4e4b51be5673953f9b22b3c0fc8e3bf5cbed13c90f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 49c | 12,616$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.36 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.89 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 9,355$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.68 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 31c | 4,713$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.32 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,092$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 54c | 1,827$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.42 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…9ebdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,745$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd86…e170backed Yes | 1c | 1,718$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 30c | 1,533$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.59 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,256$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 1,166$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 36c | 833.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 679.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed Yes | 38c | 537.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 514.19$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 63c | 484.08$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 19c | 422.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 12c | 419.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 23c | 405.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 49c | 394.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 39c | 349.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 34c | 299.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…dd71backed Yes | 38c | 297.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 63c | 264.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 222.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…124fbacked Yes | 7c | 214.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb61…5d64backed Yes | 38c | 142$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 131.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 46c | 130.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 92.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 26c | 83.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yes | 38c | 74.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 65c | 73.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…0d05backed Yes | 27c | 62.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 21c | 51.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +132%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed No | 55c | 38.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Yes | 38c | 34.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…11f4backed No | 71c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 61c | 28.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 68c | 27.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Yes | 43c | 23.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7175backed No | 68c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 77c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 73c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 70c | 14.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked No | 73c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?this page
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.