TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6335…ca2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.85
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$122.06
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715.36
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.26
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+52%+$34.2
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$743.45
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120.37
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$264.1
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+414.5%+$126.42
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$734.07
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$116.62
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.7
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.1%+$14.38
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$31.32
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+161.8%+$199.93
Will One Battle After Another win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$242.61
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+41.6%+$120.57
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.1%+$8.78
Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+49.5%+$62.16
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+68.7%+$81.29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$34.63
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+77.6%+$12.06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on January 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+269.2%+$133.84
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 40°F or higher on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.32
Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$75.59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 11°F or below on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$89.59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+97.9%+$51.42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+99.5%+$187.44
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+144%+$163.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+32.8%+$12.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.89
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 43°F or below on January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on January 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33%+$121.93
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$146.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on January 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+160.9%+$103.67
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$213.13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or higher on January 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.35
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$543.15
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$422.77
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$48.89
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$65.27
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$163.07
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+144.4%+$166.16
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$651.05
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.7%+$157.33
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$203.94
Will "New York" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.94
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+183%+$173.43
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$41.54
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.25
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.72
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$181.31
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$75.97
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$335.82
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.9
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$157.85
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+34.7%+$66.4
Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+43.5%+$275.15
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$572.89
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.5%+$38.05
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$558.26
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.8%+$402.89
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67.97
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$250.76
Will John Harbaugh be the next Giants Head Coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will LAR/CHI/BUF/SF/NE/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+57.6%+$51.21
Will LAR/CHI/BUF/SF/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.48
Will LAR/CHI/BUF/PHI/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+36.1%+$21.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid+186%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$147.13
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.39
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$125.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$947.7
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.7%+$143.56
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+2,460.1%+$333.22
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$911.61
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$403.7
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.26
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,500 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+62.2%+$48.69
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.4%+$1,569.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25.6%+$34.43
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$800.96
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.3%+$10.4
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+218.6%+$1,180.1
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$374.06
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$184.93
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 125k and 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+45.6%+$79.12
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$62.64
Will I Just Might by Bruno Mars be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$116.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$127.36
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$458.89
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$65.31
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+27.5%+$582.7
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$276.34
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,874.72
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,893.19
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.7%+$290.25
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.8%+$437.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+166.9%+$62.17
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$31.97
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26%+$20.83
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$44.91
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.59
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$36.77
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88%+$46.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.59
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+39.3%+$490.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.9%+$58.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.5%+$6.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$34.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$37.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.