Movies · resolved market

Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb15fe41021d3d487e1df8ec04df551e4a2a48c32289c352175ecdb022c071f71

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $259,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $226,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,447 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5711…2f81backed Yes	10c	20,922$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008.98	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes	13c	8,500$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	42cpaid	-83.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	7c	6,107$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.1	74	4.1%3 W · 71 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	6c	5,694$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.38	98	3.1%3 W · 95 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-89%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes	4c	5,641$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.18	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x115a…e4a6backed Yes	15c	4,770$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.72	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	8c	4,612$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.76	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	9c	4,425$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.78	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes	8c	2,908$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.02	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	9c	2,865$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.47	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes	13c	2,837$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.32	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	6c	2,741$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.18	73	6.8%5 W · 68 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	15c	2,529$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.08	154	9.7%15 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee37…89febacked Yes	13c	2,523$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.39	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x788e…3994backed Yes	8c	2,484$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	12cpaid	+209.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cfd…b94fbacked Yes	12c	2,479$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	7c	2,477$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.97	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4eb8…956ebacked Yes	6c	2,436$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…e7b9backed Yes	11c	2,284$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.94	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5d…31b9backed Yes	11c	2,257$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.35	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47a…4e85backed Yes	6c	2,229$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.65	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	11c	1,846$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.06	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes	49c	1,748$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	67cpaid	-55%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	7c	1,684$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.29	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df5…e7c2backed Yes	12c	1,649$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.69	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc8…edf2backed Yes	5c	1,490$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09aa…bdb6backed Yes	7c	1,482$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ae…bd84backed Yes	7c	1,446$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed Yes	7c	1,406$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.64	92	38%35 W · 57 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06a…1dd1backed Yes	16c	1,398$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.41	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddba…d778backed Yes	11c	1,397$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	15c	1,355$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.17	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	15c	1,268$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.59	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a2…a522backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x314c…6cbebacked Yes	8c	1,250$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.85	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c00…2fdfbacked Yes	6c	1,154$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes	7c	1,139$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.26	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-51%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…9ab5backed Yes	6c	1,136$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	6c	1,103$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.44	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	14cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd6c…a568backed Yes	11c	1,077$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.68	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+42%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x919d…f1b1backed Yes	5c	1,055$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	12c	1,052$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.8	106	32.1%34 W · 72 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes	12c	1,034$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…1294backed Yes	7c	1,007$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	11c	888$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.84	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Yes	6c	833$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2eb…83b2backed Yes	6c	784.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd19b…3867backed Yes	6c	767.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28b0…1887backed Yes	6c	755$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67f0…2faabacked Yes	4c	749.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…6574backed Yes	5c	734.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491b…02f6backed Yes	10c	734.63$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Yes	6c	731.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.87	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…c1c4backed Yes	4c	730.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	16c	718.95$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.28	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes	16c	696.96$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4999…cc96backed Yes	11c	666.39$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a5…18d2backed Yes	6c	645.52$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	5c	644.52$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	39	0%0 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…88e8backed Yes	7c	626.23$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf1e…bc49backed Yes	6c	617.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2db…9070backed Yes	12c	606.03$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9781…bc2abacked Yes	18c	600$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecd7…c614backed Yes	18c	600$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9846…ca9ebacked Yes	4c	600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb2eb…5751backed Yes	14c	593$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.8	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4975backed Yes	6c	585.22$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.68	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef4…e2e9backed Yes	5c	561.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef49…932fbacked Yes	11c	561.19$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.23	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed Yes	21c	543.77$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdae8…8c95backed Yes	11c	513.84$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceae…1cedbacked Yes	7c	513.52$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15f6…07f1backed Yes	13c	506.34$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e69…d7e4backed Yes	22c	501.78$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.68	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	9c	500$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x898f…0dd0backed Yes	6c	490.36$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ba…ba6ebacked Yes	5c	480$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0179…d651backed Yes	19c	470.24$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4684…6054backed Yes	5c	462.95$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12dc…04d5backed Yes	13c	450.98$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9122…3f5ebacked Yes	7c	447.8$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	8c	446.01$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.55	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x573c…a38fbacked Yes	12c	439.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked No	27c	423.61$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.33	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+22.0wins	+0.23per pick	23cpaid	+88%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfa45…a1f4backed Yes	7c	418.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes	14c	412.1$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.87	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fd…f5dfbacked Yes	11c	411.58$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	26cpaid	+108.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6393…0614backed Yes	7c	405.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked No	70c	400.4$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.06	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2742…9fd3backed Yes	5c	392.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes	28c	391.75$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.43	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca7…4050backed Yes	13c	383.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc09e…76f3backed Yes	5c	370.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc53…5ce3backed Yes	5c	366.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a0…ba78backed Yes	10c	364.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef10…1d95backed Yes	6c	360$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e5…6444backed Yes	6c	354.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x964c…44acbacked Yes	15c	345$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cb…c558backed Yes	7c	340.7$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.95	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	15c	334.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	195	32.8%64 W · 131 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
Will 28 Years Later win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Anemone win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Ballad of a Small Player win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Bugonia win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will F1: The Movie win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Hamnet win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will No Other Choice win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Nouvelle Vague win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event