Movies · resolved market
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cbdce3051fb67c33858b5a2e35a67f74c68e5f7c5f405232c13ddd538c02745
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $723,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,830 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 691 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddae…33ccbacked No | 28c | 69,466$19,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,015.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…b60abacked No | 27c | 65,843$17,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,065.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 24,911$11,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,564.11 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…38a4backed Yes | 72c | 24,671$17,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,763.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a0…befebacked Yes | 72c | 23,763$17,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,109.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…ce7bbacked Yes | 73c | 22,917$16,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,729.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 40c | 22,222$8,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,333.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688f…bc87backed Yes | 73c | 22,100$16,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c91…8aefbacked Yes | 72c | 21,236$15,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,289.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaff…de3bbacked Yes | 73c | 20,826$15,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,202.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 46c | 18,091$8,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,284.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 70c | 17,233$12,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,065.9 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd63c…2507backed Yes | 23c | 12,680$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 29c | 11,198$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.68 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…4876backed Yes | 25c | 10,600$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 36c | 9,890$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.04 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 71c | 7,892$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 75c | 7,796$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 75c | 7,791$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.88 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 34c | 7,547$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.74 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 70c | 7,108$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 6,062$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.83 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 25c | 5,893$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 74c | 5,347$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…bf8dbacked Yes | 78c | 4,162$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 22c | 4,093$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.36 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…b787backed No | 75c | 3,846$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…7591backed No | 75c | 3,719$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…95febacked No | 77c | 3,580$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…b2efbacked No | 77c | 3,250$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 57c | 3,152$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.16 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…31b9backed No | 63c | 3,037$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…be0bbacked No | 75c | 3,035$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8691…afc1backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 64c | 2,999$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.27 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…22fbbacked No | 77c | 2,850$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 76c | 2,384$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.6wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 56c | 2,260$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 2,200$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d37backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 72c | 1,785$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.22 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 1,678$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.17 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 8c | 1,650$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 72c | 1,596$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 22c | 1,595$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 73c | 1,486$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.61 | 329 | 24%79 W · 250 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked Yes | 23c | 1,476$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 22c | 1,455$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.62 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…b454backed Yes | 68c | 1,393$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 30c | 1,363$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.51 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 32c | 1,349$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…e8dfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,318$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 1,313$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.09 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 39c | 1,310$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.46 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 33c | 1,170$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,144$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,128$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,023$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.87 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 33c | 1,002$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.28 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…5338backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 999.97$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.98 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 43c | 946$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.85 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 55c | 933.52$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.59 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…0a32backed Yes | 53c | 921.95$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 51c | 896.4$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.23 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 62c | 894$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.05 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed No | 52c | 893$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 67c | 875$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed No | 54c | 852$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 66c | 808$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 61c | 804.89$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 52c | 801$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…fbe4backed Yes | 40c | 796.14$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 75c | 795$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.25 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 48c | 794$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…2db9backed Yes | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked No | 38c | 786.28$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 48c | 774$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed Yes | 39c | 763$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…1868backed No | 54c | 739.38$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 51c | 738$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.38 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 55c | 708.76$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.03 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 25c | 706.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 46c | 705$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed No | 52c | 697$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 78c | 689.62$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 27c | 674.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…07f1backed No | 70c | 669.36$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1f90backed Yes | 75c | 659$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 654.39$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.15 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 73c | 654$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 33c | 651$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.17 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will 28 Years Later win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Anemone win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Ballad of a Small Player win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Bugonia win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will F1: The Movie win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hamnet win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will No Other Choice win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Nouvelle Vague win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.