TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ec3…3adc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.75
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+278.8%+$82.43
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.7
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$220.11
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$297.6
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$204.8
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$718.68
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.2
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.07
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$142.56
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.4
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.25
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$183.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.9
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.09
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$384.48
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$162.69
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.28
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$342.5
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$12.15
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28.35
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$197.1
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.93
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$468.54
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.28
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.12
Will 130 to 149 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.51
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.45
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$72.66
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$76.16
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80.21
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$65
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$337.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$440.92
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$30
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$537
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.52
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$512.72
Military action against Iran ends by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$521.95
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$246.54
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$217.08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$262.72
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$245.48
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$236.4
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$186.5
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$162.9
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$87.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$231
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.96
Will GERB-SDS win between 55-59 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.43
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.63
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+900%+$383.4
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.56
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.48
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,727.88
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.88
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$209.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+191.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+161.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+423.6%+$470.84
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$148.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$301.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$768.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$65.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.