Movies · resolved market
Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c9c4a96975c169fb9a402d89182d498c92c78480b388ed4371d1afb02dd0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 19c | 1,002$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 9c | 996.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 13c | 941.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 19c | 869$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed No | 19c | 834$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 19c | 815$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 19c | 810$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 19c | 781$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 17c | 722.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked No | 19c | 720$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed No | 11c | 706$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked No | 19c | 692$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 24c | 659$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 10c | 620.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 15c | 588$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 76c | 558$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 19c | 552$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 15c | 529$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed No | 24c | 520$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked No | 19c | 503$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 15c | 498$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed No | 13c | 489$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 8c | 477.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 19c | 453$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…98e2backed No | 22c | 446$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked No | 19c | 442$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 76c | 408$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 15c | 405$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 13c | 402.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 19c | 376$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…3137backed No | 9c | 366.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed No | 15c | 353$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…4b18backed No | 21c | 336$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…0c4cbacked No | 21c | 316$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 19c | 309$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…8c48backed No | 22c | 291$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 15c | 269$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 9c | 268$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 19c | 255$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 15c | 241$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed No | 19c | 226$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 9c | 219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed No | 16c | 209.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 76c | 196$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 19c | 187$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed No | 15c | 185$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 19c | 181$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked No | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…cfebbacked Yes | 78c | 163$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 149.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1b90backed No | 21c | 149$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 145.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…4967backed Yes | 78c | 143$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 9c | 142$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…d44fbacked Yes | 78c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…0f28backed No | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…fd53backed Yes | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…d7e3backed Yes | 79c | 117$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…91afbacked Yes | 78c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f8…e3b0backed No | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67e…2549backed Yes | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…4831backed Yes | 79c | 108$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…6c4abacked Yes | 79c | 106$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…5361backed Yes | 79c | 106$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…0b4cbacked Yes | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 19c | 95.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3083…19e1backed No | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dda…e305backed No | 21c | 94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…25c1backed Yes | 78c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…10e8backed No | 20c | 89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…1d65backed No | 21c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…d9a8backed Yes | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…0308backed No | 21c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…4f86backed No | 22c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…1a89backed Yes | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…cab6backed Yes | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…d077backed No | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…bbf6backed No | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 24c | 62.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…ade8backed No | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 18c | 58.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5776…b374backed No | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 24c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb320…9b2dbacked Yes | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…132abacked Yes | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…8a7ebacked Yes | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…0265backed Yes | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79af…5a09backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Yes | 66c | 38.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…344fbacked Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…796bbacked Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727a…215ebacked Yes | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600d…e6c5backed Yes | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Adam Scott (Severance) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Diego Luna (Andor) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Gary Oldman (Slow Horses) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Mark Ruffalo (Task) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.