TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf955…bb33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.97
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.66
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$187.27
Will Vow of Silence: The Assassination of Annie Mae win Best New Non-Scripted or Documentary Series at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.55
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.1
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.27
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$398.54
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.2
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.25
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$124.25
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$371.95
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$29.24
Will Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$81.15
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$119.88
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$308.1
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$167.86
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$158.16
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+212.5%+$1,328.04
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.76
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.78
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.7
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.34
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.96
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.62
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.44
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$227.68
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$220.8
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+174.6%+$1,353.11
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.87
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$110.16
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.18
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.8
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$20.66
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$236.52
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.52
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.62
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$161.11
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+181.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$423
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.7
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$419.49
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$234
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$933.12
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$231.08
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+525%+$327.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$129.12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$724.5
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+260.3%+$517.27
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+733.3%+$384.56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$345.18
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$189.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+334.8%+$279.51
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$231.71
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$105.43
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$130.05
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$645.28
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.08
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245.49
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.79
Will Starmer say "Wireless" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.96
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+700%+$254.63
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.04
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$659.12
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$244.33
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.24
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$67.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$364.56
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$76.84
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.7
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$45.63
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.53
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$133.57
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$109
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.47
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$172.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.9%+$557.46
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$113.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$530.91
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$165.54
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$756.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.54
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$53.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$17.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.