Movies · resolved market
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf6af89f3c4346f42fb560a455f577b6defdbcd3aa20380044cd095b5f2ceb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d3…53c1backed Yes | 3c | 4,612$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 24c | 4,006$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.85 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Yes | 27c | 3,788$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.71 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 9c | 3,371$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed No | 71c | 2,736$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.3 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 32c | 1,953$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.04 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed No | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 68c | 1,194$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.92 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 26c | 1,114$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 68c | 1,022$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 4c | 1,005$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 2c | 783$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 68c | 747$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed No | 61c | 727.45$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 68c | 620$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 70c | 609.02$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.77 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 4c | 585$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 38c | 564.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.43 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 527.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 32c | 487$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 68c | 475$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 32c | 465$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 68c | 451$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 68c | 445$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 5c | 440.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 68c | 418$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 32c | 415$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 62c | 394.49$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 68c | 364$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 32c | 364$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 309.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 306.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 32c | 256$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 25c | 247.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 32c | 244$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 68c | 244$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 68c | 221$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 205.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 32c | 205$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 68c | 192$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 33c | 183$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 33c | 169$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 165.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 143.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 60c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 32c | 132$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed No | 32c | 114$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 68c | 113$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 32c | 106$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…6563backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 68c | 98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed No | 32c | 98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 92.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 74c | 85.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ef55backed No | 40c | 69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…e6c0backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 59.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…790abacked Yes | 63c | 59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d9…72aabacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…7236backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…fca2backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 49.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0f…c1d4backed No | 69c | 46.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…e7e6backed Yes | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 72c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…c7dfbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd5…cccebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…4348backed No | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…8ea6backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…7281backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 80c | 12.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)this page
- Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No won
- Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No won
- Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.