TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88fa…2cf4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.52
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.7
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.72
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.71
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+52.2%+$66.5
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.44
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.1
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.43
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.89
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.7%+$69.12
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.41
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+426.3%+$400.14
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.2%+$233.98
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.28
Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$110.58
Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+43.5%+$47.87
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.1
Will Teyana Taylor (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$357.39
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$143.94
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.2
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$96.39
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.61
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.93
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.68
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$70.15
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$74.35
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.96
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$317.52
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.61
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$41.01
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$141.44
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.35
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.4
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$231.12
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.75
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$74.97
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$144.13
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-76.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.54
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$63.62
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$94.9
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.66
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$182.39
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.82
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.85
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$116.16
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$406.9
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38.28
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$62.32
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+150%+$94.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$58.63
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.6%+$18.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid+37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.8
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$65.52
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$429.75
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.35
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.33
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$110.16
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$23.4
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+809.1%+$119.26
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.98
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$48.8
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.58
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.57
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$451.5
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$454.4
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$59.36
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157.8
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.01
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$189.8
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$130.02
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.56
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$58.61
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.48
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$187.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.