College Football · resolved market
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84a791f96a6ba303e0cb32798f1412406d039d97bc0fdeeacfc792a320505847
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 79c | 4,560$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 3,691$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 29c | 2,014$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.25 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 1,881$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 34c | 1,600$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 38c | 1,156$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 38c | 1,019$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked No | 38c | 902$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 38c | 850$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 61c | 842$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 62c | 797$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 62c | 763$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked No | 39c | 753$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 36c | 749$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 62c | 739$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed Yes | 62c | 726$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +258.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 65c | 725.22$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.83 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 38c | 723$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 62c | 690$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked No | 39c | 671$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 62c | 651$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 39c | 647$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 62c | 641$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 62c | 628$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 39c | 614$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 38c | 613$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 39c | 600.56$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 38c | 582.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 64c | 573$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…ad60backed No | 8c | 554.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 61c | 539$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 38c | 537$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 38c | 535$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 61c | 516$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 40c | 431$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 64c | 425$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 36c | 425$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed No | 38c | 408$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 38c | 387$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 62c | 387$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 36c | 386$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed No | 64c | 386$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 61c | 360$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 61c | 357$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 38c | 356$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…175fbacked Yes | 60c | 335$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 62c | 312$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 62c | 298$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 61c | 287$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed Yes | 62c | 266$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed No | 38c | 266$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 62c | 265$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked No | 39c | 265$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 61c | 257$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 61c | 242$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 39c | 242$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 62c | 230$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked Yes | 75c | 228$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 225.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed No | 38c | 216$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed No | 38c | 212$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 62c | 194$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed No | 63c | 191$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 10c | 179.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 64c | 176$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 37c | 171$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed No | 38c | 143$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 62c | 139$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 61c | 136$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 39c | 136$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 126.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed Yes | 61c | 121$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…0887backed No | 61c | 113.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed Yes | 62c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…835cbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 61c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…8b54backed Yes | 63c | 68.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 65c | 65.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…f5e3backed Yes | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 76c | 54.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…866abacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?this page
- Will Indiana and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?No won
- Will Oregon and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?No won
- Will Oregon and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.