TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff26…b20d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.3%+$22.58
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$61.73
Will a No. 2 seed win Super Bowl LXbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$103.83
Will a No. 1 seed win Super Bowl LXbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.05
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$46.73
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.6%+$55.83
Big Game - Winning Conference backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$48.19
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$35.06
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.45
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.8%+$88.48
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.1%+$58.13
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.53
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Will the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$149.12
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.11
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.3%+$304.23
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.5%+$34.3
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.3
Will the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$210.4
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.5%+$13.22
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.72
Will Pacers win by 1-10 points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$10.02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+29%+$10.97
Which conference wins NBA Finals?backed West · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$45.02
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.63
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$10.38
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will the Knicks beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.77
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+87.9%+$23.39
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+65%+$20.48
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.48
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$24.84
Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Will the Timberwolves beat the Thunder 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will the Nuggets beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.15
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$7.51
Will the Knicks beat the Celtics 4-2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$10.65
Will the Knicks beat the Celtics 4-1backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$24.23
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will the Cavaliers beat the Pacers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will the Cavaliers beat the Pacers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.95
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.35
NAC Breda vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.82
Will AZ vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+455.6%+$46.85
Will AZ win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.14
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$9.37
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.16
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$11.61
PEC Zwolle vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.56
Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$11.2
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25.3%+$9.1
Spread: NEC (-0.5)backed FC Groningen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$11.47
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
Will PSV win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will NAC Breda vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.81
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.29
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.49
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$32.5
Will FC København vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.1
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24.41
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$11.4
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.73
Will Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$11.7
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will a club from Asia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.76
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.15
Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. Dortmundbacked Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.1%+$50.31
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.2%+$9.67
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$56.97
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65.47
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+31.2%+$64.13
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.05
Will Alabama win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+65.6%+$75.03
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$47.82
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.3%+$10.58
Will BYU win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.05
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+84.8%+$51.4
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+78.2%+$50.05
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.33
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.05
Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$57.6
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.91
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$4.3
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.73
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.85
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+57.6%+$32.24
Will the Toronto Blue Jays lose the World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.45
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.88
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$43.8
Will the Blue Jays beat the Mariners 4-3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$105.8
Will the Blue Jays beat the Mariners 4-2backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winnerbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+70.8%+$9.21
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$17.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fiorentina vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will Verona vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Feverbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18.49
Dream vs Mysticsbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Sweden vs Montenegrobacked Montenegro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Doug Polk’s win his “Every Starting Hand” Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+92%+$34.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.