Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa99f96e063cdb4d368188ad3fc4b33c002c624f9dcf60976b9a33329a637d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc12b…1652backed No | 76c | 14,479$11,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…e325backed Yes | 24c | 5,840$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 23c | 4,967$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.39 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…803fbacked No | 76c | 4,604$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…9521backed Yes | 24c | 4,170$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…db7abacked No | 76c | 3,420$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 19c | 2,970$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,334$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.03 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 2,140$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.33 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccb…6178backed No | 76c | 1,973$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…fbd6backed No | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…b875backed Yes | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,128$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 10c | 938.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 76c | 881.33$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.52 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 76c | 842.04$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 23c | 828.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 7c | 800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 718.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 23c | 621$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 17c | 597.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 571.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 23c | 565.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 14c | 488.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 80c | 475.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 24c | 444$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c89…2171backed Yes | 24c | 416.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…137ebacked Yes | 5c | 367.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 76c | 333.33$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 76c | 289.92$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…bc8cbacked Yes | 23c | 257.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 24c | 255.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…4b53backed Yes | 24c | 255.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed Yes | 18c | 244.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Yes | 24c | 222.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…0a62backed Yes | 24c | 206.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 26c | 198.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 23c | 173.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…8c29backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 25c | 136.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 76c | 128$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 24c | 124.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Yes | 18c | 121.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 24c | 112.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0819backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 38c | 95.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…99ddbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 20c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 73c | 73.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…1054backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 22c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…c4e9backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc1…03c9backed Yes | 28c | 67.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Yes | 24c | 61.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…884fbacked Yes | 35c | 56.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 76c | 54.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…0ff9backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…9d69backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa152…f5c1backed Yes | 24c | 48.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 30c | 40.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 70c | 40.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…7637backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…e6ffbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.