TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa019…c220

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
359
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: F1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT21437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 214 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will MOUZ Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.06
Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)backed 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.49
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10backed EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.49
Counter-Strike: Acend vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 14backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50.24
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 5backed Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs 6666 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 8backed 6666 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+362.8%+$56.3
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.71
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.04
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Entropy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.71
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.51
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.76
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.55
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.76
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 214 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT4136.6%15 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35.7
Who will finish higher: Alonso or Stroll?backed Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$520.17
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$843.9
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+324.8%+$537.52
Will Mercedes finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.05
Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+233.8%+$35.72
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+216.9%+$154.68
Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$88.8
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60.6
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.82
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.43
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+250.3%+$1,533.94
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+198.1%+$652.78
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+242%+$1,262.16
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.16
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.3
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$622.38
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$82.31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$71.98
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.4
Belgium to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.4
Senegal to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+340.9%+$115.52
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.94
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.84
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$462.08
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.89
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$90.72
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$249.24
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.66
Will Portugal win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.64
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.22
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.04
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$30.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.04
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$258.03
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.63
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$80
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.87
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$93.8
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.3
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+674.6%+$479
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.84
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$48.3
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+448%+$89.6
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+206.9%+$68.64
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.21
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$304
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$88.2
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$179.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.