TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed No49c11,102$5,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,660.957762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed No46c10,388$4,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,609.521936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes44c9,616$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.014,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes15c9,305$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.692250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No44c8,926$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,030.0729545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No49c7,538$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.342060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No48c3,723$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.039459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No46c3,555$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes68c3,149$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No39c2,811$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.5130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No49c2,229$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.944141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes61c1,987$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.7474657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No52c1,961$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.887060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes55c1,784$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.7227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,766$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.793,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No53c1,680$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.7712551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes51c1,494$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.496035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Yes53c1,458$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c1,329$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes51c1,100$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5643548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206e…14dfbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked No48c968.33$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+316.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45026147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes54c851.48$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.81936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c849$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9535054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes70c821.67$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.0114067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6bf1…5014backed Yes73c807.69$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4082669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.7wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+42.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed No47c719.65$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f1…8dd4backed Yes15c674.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes73c652$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.212251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No49c500.15$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8511736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2555444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Yes27c458.14$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5310250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No47c407$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.715754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No52c399.97$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.981957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes76c393.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Yes52c388$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes32c379.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes52c363.27$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No26c356.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.471181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+60.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes51c340.04$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…24babacked Yes23c335.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No54c309.63$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes47c305.19$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.441520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes49c303.06$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No49c302$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0215851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0907…8887backed Yes49c296.63$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes48c273.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.116753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c69…1624backed Yes73c271$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.18366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No25c261.08$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8114854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f5…ee20backed Yes79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes52c239.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes51c222.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9805…bbaabacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes48c211.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.58850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc12b…bc7cbacked Yes53c209$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c201$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10411947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No25c199.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.996755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No47c197.03$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.423141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3606…9bd2backed Yes52c191.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+95.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes73c188$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6210063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No29c186$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.256753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No48c174.81$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.99445.7%43 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No47c172.15$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2428055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda95…e997backed Yes54c166.06$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes19c166$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.541926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb24…6ed3backed Yes53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed No51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.252458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No68c142$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8637039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd3…c5f4backed No16c141.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c6…8effbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c138.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No13c133$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.715143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes78c128.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed No25c125$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes71c123$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes75c122.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.651154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.