TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88f5…ee20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$85.55
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+61.5%+$61.45
Reds vs. Padresbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+179.7%+$540.85
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+100.5%+$517.37
Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+131.8%+$32.95
Twins vs. Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$89.07
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+88.3%+$176.64
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+62.1%+$43.5
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Angels vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.82
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+94.4%+$190.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will San Diego FC beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$101.5
MLS: Will LAFC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+96.9%+$39.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$117.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$109.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.