Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x411e4d4738f45f0ce40dd64e802e0c8ec4028124bd8584f5524120e28465f3db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 54c | 40,659$21,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,974.36 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 54c | 28,435$15,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,355.15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 25,079$12,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,592.43 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 21c | 19,258$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.95 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 15c | 11,334$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.96 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 47c | 9,800$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.6 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Yes | 46c | 9,550$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,157 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 59c | 9,230$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.4 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 43c | 6,931$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 5,783$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.07 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 72c | 4,363$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 46c | 4,362$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.71 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 62c | 4,048$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…6b38backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…593dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,996$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 1,640$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 70c | 1,319$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 47c | 1,278$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.46 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,214$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 43c | 1,164$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 71c | 1,091$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 57c | 1,056$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 8c | 1,050$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Yes | 77c | 700.97$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 65c | 679.14$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 71c | 620.55$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 36c | 605$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 57c | 499.94$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 44c | 488.65$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…8771backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 22c | 462.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Yes | 75c | 439.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Yes | 43c | 410.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed No | 49c | 390$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 78c | 372$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 27c | 360.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 56c | 354.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed No | 35c | 322.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 46c | 317.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 60c | 278.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 229$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 44c | 225$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 224.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 66c | 212.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 205.22$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 30c | 196.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…8effbacked Yes | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 65c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…1624backed Yes | 69c | 167.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 65c | 160.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes | 79c | 160.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 43c | 152.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Yes | 80c | 150.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 57c | 150.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 9c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 58c | 149.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 43c | 147.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…732abacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 11c | 136.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Yes | 76c | 131.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 74c | 129$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…34e7backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…1f33backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…c5a4backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 83.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 69c | 68.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…7dcbbacked Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…0229backed Yes | 46c | 55.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?this page
- Will Bayer Leverkusen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.