TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$477,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$504,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Yes29c333,377$96,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,677.71723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No71c172,400$122,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,9961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No71c165,884$117,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,246.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes27c38,574$10,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,419.269053.3%48 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No78c18,518$14,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,097.9119153.9%103 W · 88 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No73c14,808$10,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.2410463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa768…0ad1backed Yes17c14,426$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No71c12,784$9,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,707.95666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1470…7cbebacked Yes31c9,513$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No80c8,929$7,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.632035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c8,707$6,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.723745.6%108 W · 129 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes31c4,387$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes29c4,037$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.7517549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No69c3,067$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.6414846.6%69 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No71c2,998$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Yes29c2,813$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes31c1,761$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5463040%12 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No69c1,387$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.052846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dd…59e8backed Yes30c1,324$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No73c1,316$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2615064%96 W · 54 L+25.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes31c1,226$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804020%8 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c1,224$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.323046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes31c1,004$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No67c882.63$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes6c851.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.915143.1%22 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes28c799.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No69c799.29$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7814157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c508.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409173.6%67 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.993748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No67c491.45$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.092853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb93…63d9backed Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504231%13 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a11…abe7backed Yes31c437.06$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes29c389$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.816921.7%15 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes34c378.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.44650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No71c374$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.493330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa693…9454backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes31c319.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.971520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes34c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Yes31c292.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked No71c290$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x650f…e81ebacked Yes35c284.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c273$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.953,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No72c270.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.83666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes37c270.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes17c235$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No70c229$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.74228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No71c225.35$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa329…b8ecbacked Yes36c223.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-77.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes30c216.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No67c214.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2125659.4%152 W · 104 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No69c214$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3414254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes30c186.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes35c183$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.053644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…bb4ebacked Yes30c176.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes11c176$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…409abacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…0b66backed No70c148.57$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844a…ba1abacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7f…b28abacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892763%17 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No69c131.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.863158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0151…3691backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes29c124.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.03633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes32c120.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.714671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c119$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6233945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No71c118.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafa3…0800backed Yes33c104.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes31c103.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.942240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No70c102$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Yes32c100.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce62…1f33backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes19c95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254753.2%25 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Yes31c80.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No65c77.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1511860.2%71 W · 47 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes30c76.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50d6…04babacked No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes35c69.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ce…660dbacked Yes32c67.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes30c66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…9442backed Yes19c64.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503b…d52cbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c6…f769backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes24c62.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.