TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb93…63d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST4231%13 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
RB Leipzig vs. Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+194.1%+$58.24
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$210
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bayern München vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Will FC Augsburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Union Berlin vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will 1. FC Köln vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+261.8%+$130.89
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Will FC St. Pauli vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+150%+$75
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$74.99
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+400%+$200
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+257.3%+$257.32
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.