TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$509,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25a7…2f87backed No11c100,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked No59c70,732$41,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,407.753237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes41c70,272$28,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,403.5320039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes37c40,000$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,2001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c38,950$16,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,904.236,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No59c29,000$17,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,009.9321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes42c20,006$8,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,696.019242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes55c13,085$7,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,940.063718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes47c12,821$6,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,766.661952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No59c11,821$6,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,974.6615949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No59c10,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,850.293834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,90020140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes38c7,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,918.3318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No62c7,336$4,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,582.8679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes44c5,903$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.517958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes41c4,822$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.2510848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No59c4,562$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.5810636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No59c3,628$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.5211029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes40c3,600$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.9932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9b…1d68backed Yes44c2,966$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes31c2,883$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.1336954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes44c2,803$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.725944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Yes30c2,700$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.85527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes41c2,698$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes42c2,697$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.273450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c2,679$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.114,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No14c2,562$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.554339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes41c2,436$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.956048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes43c2,329$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.633537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes43c2,305$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.352548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c2,300$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.9956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No60c2,238$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.734161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No58c2,222$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.6822744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes45c2,217$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.657230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No59c2,067$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.677248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes34c2,024$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.6814544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes46c2,000$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0882774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4409646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No51c1,717$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.35451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No58c1,685$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.515056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No61c1,472$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.9834251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes41c1,413$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.6449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46da…107abacked Yes42c1,186$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No1c1,136$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3613727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No56c1,136$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.3415337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c1,092$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.291,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes41c1,024$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.399235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No65c1,012$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.5710357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf602…e236backed Yes30c1,006$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes42c971$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.461,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes42c856.35$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.713948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No60c830$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.29858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c751.71$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3968942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd070…a978backed Yes41c707.32$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.322330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes43c702.49$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.4930050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes40c650.85$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.514334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes50c600$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3017652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked No50c591.89$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6180%0 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes42c583.33$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa02…0590backed Yes42c577.24$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes33c551.7$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.711937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed Yes40c524.39$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Yes42c524.24$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.062236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed No59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2959861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29520040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Yes35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+121%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c451.68$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes45c447.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5937840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…c9efbacked Yes41c436.59$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes45c425.38$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29f…1ab6backed Yes28c421.06$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.061030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e5…7df4backed Yes44c416$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes34c400$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes42c399.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23219735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes42c389.64$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.993860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked No66c369.52$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-50.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes42c363.5$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.836450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed No60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes42c345.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2411044.5%49 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6e…1571backed Yes45c333.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No58c332.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.121548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e17…2b55backed Yes43c325.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes37c324.46$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.462937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c317$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes39c298.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8611227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked No60c293.35$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.012556%14 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9af…85c0backed Yes41c292.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c279.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes42c271.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No29c270$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.34235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed Yes42c260.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.041225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.