TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$670,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$858,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25a7…2f87backed No50c285,939$142,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,969.361546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes50c126,961$63,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,480.5728355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes44c61,086$26,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,836.9210357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes33c12,433$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.280%0 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes29c11,000$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19017234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed No71c7,081$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.620039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No53c6,100$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85036954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes28c5,356$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.5938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes41c2,728$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.713135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No52c2,441$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.97248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No72c2,361$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.111782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Yes50c2,205$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5d7…0389backed Yes29c2,049$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No72c2,049$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.6722448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9815337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes28c1,941$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a6…0dcebacked Yes50c1,820$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9101258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes29c1,741$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No71c1,446$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.0217958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No50c1,073$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No51c1,000$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4867652.6%40 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes37c949.06$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.694,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes29c857.03$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Yes61c679$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes58c654.18$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.373718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No72c644.5$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.465149%25 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes55c543.16$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.736630.3%20 W · 46 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes23c500$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked No57c436.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.63650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e5…7df4backed Yes29c416$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes29c380.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11035247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes29c355.69$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.156327%17 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes50c297.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked No71c282.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0711252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c221$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed No65c218$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3610554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes52c206.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.235056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c90…d54bbacked Yes32c206.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…25a3backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes26c196.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…a951backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…c9efbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes29c165.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.964551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3d…f5d2backed No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c154.16$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4783459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed Yes50c154$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes32c150.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.49738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f1…1160backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+79.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…412dbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5020…215fbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d8…8211backed Yes29c130.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32a4…3956backed Yes28c128$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x214c…eb00backed Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…1ab6backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes20c101.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes29c101$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.294341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1424…4f78backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c97…874abacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810733.6%36 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes29c98.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.671936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.125637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes32c88.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.423754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed No50c84.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Yes19c77.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes29c76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.045438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9700…1439backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…c4e3backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347f…df2abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d3…78f0backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…3668backed Yes31c65.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+78.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No71c63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0652060.4%314 W · 206 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab1…66c5backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10170%0 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.