Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x488b0e6289dae794d6d4faeeb51dc326a3cbf5f3651b8bda0a105085aac49b74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25a7…2f87backed Yes | 32c | 198,585$64,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,492.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 67c | 56,894$38,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,742.51 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 69c | 37,468$25,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,701.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 67c | 15,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 32c | 14,344$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.39 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 31c | 14,328$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,439.02 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 32c | 12,500$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 10,823$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.99 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…5986backed Yes | 32c | 8,928$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 70c | 7,761$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.72 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked Yes | 32c | 4,900$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 32c | 4,331$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 67c | 4,011$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.63 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 32c | 2,404$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.2 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 68c | 2,220$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 33c | 1,704$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked No | 70c | 1,436$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.03 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 71c | 1,365$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…021ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,213$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 32c | 1,171$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.34 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 31c | 977.93$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 31c | 968.75$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.59 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 32c | 921.47$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 69c | 904.58$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.27 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 68c | 875.01$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 814.02$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 776.45$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 32c | 769.47$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 32c | 744.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 32c | 743.72$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…41d0backed Yes | 32c | 712.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 72c | 683$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…ff19backed No | 68c | 672.84$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 31c | 645$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 32c | 598.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 70c | 584.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 70c | 574.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed No | 70c | 531.9$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 32c | 420.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed Yes | 32c | 409.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 29c | 399.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 397.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 31c | 385.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…f425backed Yes | 30c | 377.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 28c | 355$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 32c | 345.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 29c | 315.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 32c | 311.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 68c | 311.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 68c | 311.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11df…731fbacked Yes | 27c | 300.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…c98dbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 29c | 294.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…5e04backed Yes | 31c | 287.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 32c | 286.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 4c | 272.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 70c | 271.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 29c | 243.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…4ef4backed Yes | 28c | 232.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Yes | 22c | 228.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…184ebacked Yes | 20c | 202.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 29c | 199.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 29c | 197.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbf…3fa7backed Yes | 28c | 195$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 70c | 187$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 80c | 186$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 32c | 181.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +13.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 166.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 30c | 166.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.