TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e86…93c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 63 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$380
Twins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+115.1%+$535
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$265
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90.42
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Mariners vs. Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+103.7%+$307.65
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$305
Orioles vs. Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.97
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$295
Spread: Cubs (-1.5)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$180
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Phillies vs. Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.47
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$305
Mets vs. Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$320
Pirates vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Padres vs. Twinsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$15
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: T1 vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+236.5%+$410
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengersbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.67
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. LGD Gamingbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
League of Legends: Gen.G Global Academy vs. Nongshim Esports Academybacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$340
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs. Nongshim Esports Academybacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$100
League of Legends: DRX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$320
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. KT Rolsterbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.08
BLAST Open: FlyQuest vs. Legacybacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$165
League of Legends: T1 vs. Gen.Gbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.99
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Will Albania win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.04
Will Armenia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$1,460
Will Maldives win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$165
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$295
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Slovenia win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Czechia win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$320
Will United Arab Emirates win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+115.1%+$534.99
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.99
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.88
US Open: Jessica Pegula vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$125
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori Gauffbacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$290
US Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
US Open: Leandro Riedi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$165
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+102%+$260.85
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+300%+$112.45
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+525%+$420
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will Everton win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will Brentford win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+121.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: Iceland vs Sloveniabacked Iceland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Euro Basket: Finland vs Lithuaniabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.23
Euro Basket: Sweden vs Montenegrobacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$395
Fever vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$189.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$213.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: TCU (-3.5)backed North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.