MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff07f487a3d518c9424be751e894d8f49a2aea12852348a635d99cc665684b06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Cubs, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $916,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $927,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $916,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 52c | 328,423$170,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,726.51 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Cubs | 54c | 133,208$71,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,887.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Braves | 48c | 103,400$49,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,768 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 57c | 71,602$40,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,064.37 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 48c | 61,542$29,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,002.01 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 48c | 51,000$24,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,519.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 48c | 41,106$19,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,438.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Braves | 58c | 37,528$21,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,895.09 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 48c | 30,900$14,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,068 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Braves | 48c | 26,854$12,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,964.25 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 52c | 25,555$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.59 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Cubs | 11c | 22,732$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 48c | 22,042$10,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,461.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 35c | 20,412$7,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,074.37 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cubs | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Braves | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Braves | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 72c | 14,920$10,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 40c | 13,356$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.91 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Braves | 64c | 11,233$7,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.07 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 20c | 8,177$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Braves | 48c | 7,300$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Braves | 74c | 7,136$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Cubs | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Cubs | 15c | 6,875$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 48c | 6,700$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.97 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 48c | 6,277$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.76 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 47c | 5,182$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.32 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Cubs | 56c | 3,709$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.83 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Braves | 57c | 3,509$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.47 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Braves | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Braves | 48c | 3,185$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.38 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 47c | 2,732$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.7 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 48c | 2,644$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.82 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Braves | 59c | 2,582$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.09 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Braves | 48c | 2,439$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.15 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Cubs | 29c | 2,423$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.46 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Braves | 48c | 2,186$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.92 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Cubs | 34c | 2,052$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 76c | 1,949$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.71 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Braves | 48c | 1,606$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cubs | 53c | 1,386$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Cubs | 51c | 1,325$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.75 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 72c | 1,295$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.65 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Cubs | 53c | 1,265$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 44c | 1,255$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Cubs | 15c | 1,255$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 49c | 1,232$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.88 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cubs | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 66c | 1,198$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.36 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Braves | 49c | 1,181$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.31 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Braves | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Braves | 49c | 1,142$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.42 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.13 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.78 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.08 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 8c | 1,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Braves | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Braves | 49c | 981.63$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.63 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Braves | 44c | 979$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.24 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Braves | 59c | 836.39$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Braves | 72c | 834$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.12 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 49c | 833$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 68c | 816.69$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.47 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Cubs | 52c | 752.31$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Braves | 49c | 752.2$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Cubs | 52c | 666.22$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.79 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 52c | 654.87$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.96 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 78c | 644.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 48c | 627$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Braves | 44c | 601.37$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.77 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cubs | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Braves | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Cubs | 52c | 565$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.8 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cubs | 19c | 560.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Braves | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cubs | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Braves | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Braves | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Braves | 48c | 497.27$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Braves | 47c | 429.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.26 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Braves | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0d…d10bbacked Braves | 49c | 414.71$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Braves | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Braves | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 63c | 378.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 48c | 342.6$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs | 10c | 299.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 53c | 292.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cubs | 51c | 292.64$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 53c | 265.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Bravesthis page
- Cubs vs. Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Cubs vs. BravesNo won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.