TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1126…6e7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,986Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$3,505.7
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$226
US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Leheckabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,741.03
US Open: Ugo Blanchet vs Tomas Machacbacked Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,419.8
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,444.95
US Open: Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,022.45
US Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+120.4%+$3,322.71
US Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,189
US Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tomas Machacbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,124.63
US Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
US Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,150.27
US Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,971Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+125.6%+$2,475.65
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,977.08
US Open: Karen Khachanov vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,009Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$496.81
US Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.24
US Open: Hugo Dellien vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,560
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$139
Wimbledon Final – Will Swiatek win by 4+ games? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$769.74
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,020.76
NRFI: Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$354.72
NRFI: Cubs vs. Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,000.44
NRFI: Royals vs. Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$620.75
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$1,198.66
Mets vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.84
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,097.3
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.75
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,694
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,719Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$3,043.27
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,490.97
Cubs vs. Angelsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,486Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+123.4%+$3,066.83
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$351.99
Blue Jays vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.36
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,342.34
Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,973Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+65.1%+$2,584.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$151
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sky vs. Acesbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$136
Wings vs. Sparksbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$461
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,488.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.