MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf4c5c5b786a167b762d1cf8d7fca1c78070a3b6bc62374bc46ebc20863d44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 54c | 272,000$146,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,116.74 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 46c | 117,710$54,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,401.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Angels | 38c | 55,311$21,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,290.8 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 47c | 47,469$22,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,405.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Angels | 46c | 29,176$13,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,292.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 57c | 25,062$14,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,784.15 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 45c | 24,166$10,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,798.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels | 45c | 20,955$9,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,402.28 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels | 43c | 15,409$6,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.31 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Angels | 45c | 12,021$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409.47 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 47c | 9,523$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.5 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 46c | 8,932$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Cubs | 65c | 7,548$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Cubs | 45c | 5,552$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Angels | 32c | 5,140$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 43c | 4,969$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.82 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Angels | 47c | 4,968$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.19 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Cubs | 61c | 4,928$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cubs | 56c | 4,620$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Angels | 44c | 4,444$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Angels | 45c | 4,307$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Angels | 44c | 4,227$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Angels | 15c | 3,624$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.84 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Cubs | 56c | 3,364$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Angels | 45c | 3,322$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.03 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…c2edbacked Angels | 1c | 3,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 56c | 2,372$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.87 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Angels | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Angels | 44c | 1,989$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 66c | 1,679$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.72 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Angels | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Angels | 47c | 1,132$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 59c | 955.06$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.06 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 43c | 920.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Angels | 42c | 901.09$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.45 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 42c | 899.95$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…7c8cbacked Cubs | 57c | 891.23$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Angels | 44c | 890.91$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 52c | 778.77$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Angels | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Angels | 44c | 675.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Angels | 45c | 621$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cubs | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 56c | 572.85$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Angels | 33c | 563.08$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 57c | 505$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Angels | 43c | 496.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Angels | 32c | 478.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cubs | 56c | 474.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Angels | 42c | 469.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Angels | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Angels | 36c | 395.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Angels | 45c | 391.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cubs | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 43c | 366$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Cubs | 57c | 359.65$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Angels | 42c | 356.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 55c | 312.51$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Cubs | 71c | 281.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 64c | 280.68$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 69c | 261$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels | 31c | 258.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Cubs | 42c | 233.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 58c | 227.59$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angels | 43c | 222.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Angels | 50c | 217.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 9c | 211.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 80c | 205.17$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Cubs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Angels | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 44c | 180.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 41c | 161$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Angels | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Angels | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Angels | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…57d0backed Angels | 42c | 136$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…7addbacked Cubs | 58c | 136$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Angels | 25c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Angels | 31c | 129.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Angels | 44c | 126.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Angels | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cubs | 71c | 119.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Angels | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Cubs | 58c | 111$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Angels | 44c | 110.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 33c | 105.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 58c | 103.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Angels | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Angels | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Angelsthis page
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.