WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs. Sparks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x235d9a4cfe5e564f6e90f98318d07a4bdb4e1392e96526902206b54aad98eea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Wings, Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 22c | 8,380$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.19 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Sparks | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Wings | 16c | 2,852$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Sparks | 74c | 2,035$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sparks | 78c | 1,943$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.03 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sparks | 78c | 1,583$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wings | 23c | 1,557$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.54 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Wings | 23c | 1,465$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sparks | 78c | 1,383$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.58 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sparks | 78c | 1,342$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.72 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Wings | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Sparks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Wings | 28c | 799.35$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sparks | 79c | 780$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Wings | 24c | 768.29$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sparks | 78c | 636.36$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 21c | 599.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Sparks | 80c | 506.34$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Wings | 29c | 498.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Sparks | 79c | 455.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 23c | 443.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sparks | 79c | 438$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Wings | 26c | 370$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sparks | 71c | 335.91$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Wings | 25c | 324.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sparks | 79c | 310.15$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sparks | 77c | 298.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Wings | 25c | 255.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Sparks | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Sparks | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Sparks | 79c | 218$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Wings | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Sparks | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 71c | 177.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wings | 22c | 163$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wings | 30c | 148$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sparks | 79c | 137$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wings | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Wings | 28c | 128.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Wings | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Wings | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wings | 23c | 90.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Sparks | 78c | 87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sparks | 78c | 86.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Wings | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Sparks | 73c | 71.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Sparks | 70c | 70.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…df7abacked Wings | 25c | 68.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Sparks | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Sparks | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Sparks | 64c | 54.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Sparks | 79c | 54.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…0229backed Sparks | 75c | 53.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Wings | 20c | 52.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Sparks | 77c | 52.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…0293backed Sparks | 79c | 51.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…0a02backed Sparks | 79c | 41.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Sparks | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Wings | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Sparks | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Sparks | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Sparks | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…2149backed Sparks | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.