TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60f0…1a38

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108%+$71.66
Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60.65
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,270.49
Bulls vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$378.12
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,291Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+185.7%+$2,397.34
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Heat vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.17
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Mavericks vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$10.26
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$48.1
Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$64.07
Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$215.04
Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$495.16
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$13.42
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$242.48
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,650
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,228.78
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40.25
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$151.2
Spread: Texans (-9.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$133.4
Spread: Eagles (-11.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$414.15
Commanders vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$39.34
Seahawks vs. Titans: 1H Moneylinebacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.82
Jets vs. Patriots: 1H Moneylinebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.22
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,247.02
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$20.18
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$165
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs. Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$45.78
Sun vs. Wingsbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$223.47
Aces vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$209
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$99.71
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragons: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$208.62
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$70.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Michigan State: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$636.16
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,349.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$54.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.5%+$43.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$137.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.